Job market still sickly, factories remain weak
Written on December 19, 2008
The sickly U.S. labor market showed little sign of improvement last week and continued weakness in the manufacturing sector held out no hope that unemployed workers would find a place in struggling factories.
Government data showed on Thursday that the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits remained at recessionary levels last week, even though they eased from a 26-year peak.
Claims are also more than 200,000 higher than a year ago and waves of layoffs announced by large corporations mean there is little reason to think they will ease soon to levels that resemble a healthy economy.
“This provides further evidence that not only are we in a deep recession, it may be one of the worst recessions seen in the past 50 years,” said Dana Saporta, an analyst at Dresdner Kleinwort in New York.
Initial claims for state unemployment insurance benefits fell 21,000 to a seasonally adjusted 554,000 in the week ended December 13 from an upwardly revised 575,000 the previous week.
Weekly jobless claims of 400,000 to 500,000 have coincided with the most recent recessions.
Factory activity in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region contracted in December but at a less severe rate than in the previous month, a survey showed.
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank reported its business activity index at minus 32 guaranteed pay day loans.9 after a reading of minus 39.3 in November. Economists had expected a drop to minus 40.0.
Still, any reading below zero indicates contraction in the region’s manufacturing sector. Worse yet, the report’s gauge of employment fell to its lowest since 1982.
“The Philadelphia Fed’s general business conditions index, though still very weak, was not as dire as forecasts,” said John Ryding, chief economist at RDQ Economics.
“However, the details of the report was weaker than the headline.”
Financial markets had a positive take on the data, which generally did not live up to economists’ grim expectations.
U.S. government bonds, which generally benefit from signs of economic weakness, pared their gains after the Philadelphia Fed report. Stocks turned positive but were struggling to maintain any gains.
Economists believe the economy is on track for its longest recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
To halt the slide, the Federal Reserve has made unprecedented efforts. On Tuesday it cut its key overnight lending rate to a record low of zero-to-0.25 percent from 1.0 percent previously.
Filed in: economics.